BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+ 12 DRAFKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This weekend, we have an 11-fight card at Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some adequate contests for us to win a great deal of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. They also possess a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first location price and $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 entries that qualify. I will try to get my 3rd chair this week to max it if I can. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those too hard. I’ll likely stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw a handful of entries at that $30k decoration, and then I will likely take a few shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a fantastic amount of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get into a few plays I like this week Together with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me, this is an easy stack in cash week. I think we readily have a floor of 100 using Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. Additionally, it assures us the winner. As I have mentioned many times previously, we do not need 6 wins in cash games, therefore play with those type of games safer and all you’ve got to do is beat half the area. Usually 4 wins or 400+ points is good enough to cash in most cash games. Even if you have a strong lean with this fight I recommend stacking.
GPP play of this week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik has the highest ITD lineup on the card in -140 and he can hit 100+ DK points by obtaining that in around 1. The worry here would be him on his back in round 1 and then scoring zero points during that and then going out and getting a KO in round 2. Or no KO in any way. Both of those would take him away the perfect lineup so we want this struggle to keep standing and ideally an early KO. I think that is extremely possible and he will be a core GPP drama of mine this week. He isn’t the greatest money game play though because he could be put on his back and be stuck there and perhaps even lose the fight that way. I am OK with him in cash, but I won’t be making a priority like I will being overweight in GPPs.
Play of this week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This gambling line is about pickem’ with a small lean towards Dos Santos. However, Ewell is the favorite on DraftKings and is $400 more than ADS. Ewell is also the striker so for him to score highly he is likely going to want a finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength though. Ewell has difficulty staying off his spine and if ADS can put him he could submit him. He could rack up multiple takedowns to get a high decision score. I enjoy the value we’re getting on him $7.9k and I like he should be looking to grapple in this particular fight. That’s the reason why I needed to pick him as my puppy of the week.
Fade of this week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There are no real easy fades this week. I really do have a complete fade on Kondo however because she looks to be purely a striker and I believe Ashely Yoder’s best path to success is by way of grappling. If Kondo is not in a striking match for 15-minutes I don’t see how she scores highly unless she gets a finish. I don’t believe she’s KO power, so I think it is purely the significant strikes and the triumph bonus which we’d be relying on here. I’d rather have a fighter with a opportunity to finish or who is more inclined to grapple. That’s why Kondo is my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight on the card and give my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link as well. I’m 81-51 to get +251.89u (+$25,189) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
Read more: https://moto-betting.com/