Kyle Busch Favored Again to Win the Food City 500
Following the high-speed, 1.5-mile quad-oval of Texas Motor Speedway, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads into the 0.5-mile short Trail of Bristol Motor Speedway.
Two weeks following another short track in Martinsville, tempers could be brief this week and oddsmakers have Kyle Busch keeping his nose clean as a +260 favorite.
BetOnline has Busch as the favorite in +260 followed by Kyle Larson at +700, Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano in +800, and Kevin Harvick and Ryan Blaney at +1200 to round out the top drivers on the oddsboard.
Standout Stats
Chevrolet has only won two of the past 11 races at Bristol Motor Speedway, while Ford and Toyota divide the other nine runnings, together with Toyota grabbing five checkered flags and Ford four.
The winner of this race has qualified on the pole in three of the previous eight runnings.
The Busch brothers have won each of the last few races at Bristol with Kurt winning the August running last year and Kyle winning the previous two. Overall, the two have combined for 13 wins at this track.
Kurt Busch (+1600) has won six of his 36 career starts at Bristol, including four of his first seven. The Nevada native won the last running at this track last August but has finished outside the top 10 in 10 of the last 15 races in Bristol.
Kyle Busch (+260) has pushed into victory lane seven times at Bristol in 27 career starts, including two of those previous three. However, he has dropped in a few of the previous eight races overall there. He has led 100 or more laps in four of the previous seven runnings at the 0.5-mile track.
I’d stay away from Brad Keselowski (+800) although he drove to victory lane at Martinsville two weeks ago. The Michigan native has finished outside the top 10 in six straight races at Bristol and has just led in one of those runnings for a total of 67 laps.
Chase Elliott (+1500) is a sleeper choice for this race. The Georgia native finished fourth in his first start there in 2016 and landed on the podium in the last running, including leading 112 laps. From a value standpoint he is not a bad wager, finishing in the top five in just two of his six starts at Bristol.
My Very Best Bet for the Food City 500
Kyle Busch (+260)
Not an exciting pick this week, but the Nevada native has won 25.9 percentage of his 27 career starts at Bristol and has finished within the top five in 37.0 percent of these appearances. Busch also includes two wins already this year to go along with four point wins. Finally, he’s led 100 or even more laps at this track at four of the last seven runnings.
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