UFC 196 Betting Preview
When lightweight champion Rafael dos Anjos pulled out of his second title defense against Connor McGregor 12 days ahead of the show, the UFC had options galore.
You see, in the same way the featherweight kingpin will inform you, any card headlined by the Dubliner is going to be a money-making bonanza. The promotion first offered the fight to Jose Aldo and Frankie Edgar, but answered the call.
Edgar was coping with a groin injury that had prevented him from coaching for the several previous weeks, while Aldo’s coach said he was not in good enough shape conditioning-wise to select the fight on such short notice.
Former 155-pound champ Anthony Pettis was just one fighter volunteering his services, joining the likes of Urijah Faber and Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone. Even B.J. Penn needed a shot at McGregor.
Nate Diaz was more than willing when contacted from the UFC. Dana White allowed the rumors to hang in the air for many hours before deciding that the attention from fans was best to get a Diaz-McGregor showdown.
McGregor had informed the UFC he’d fight anybody on the roster at any given weight. When Diaz’s camp indicated that getting down to 155 on brief notice was too much, the UFC countered using a catchweight supply of 160 pounds. Diaz countered with 165.
When the UFC known as’The Notorious,’ he said let’s just take action at 170. Thus, tonight’s main event for UFC 196 at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas is a five-rounder contested at welterweight. McGregor, the 145-pound champ, is moving up two weight classes.
Ad Most books opened McGregor (19-2 MMA, 7-0 UFC) at approximately -300, but the odds are becoming more expensive with every passing day. As of Thursday afternoon, most places had McGregor favored in the -450 to -500 range. Diaz was around +380 about the comeback (risk $100 to win $380).
Now that we’ve arrived at fight day, most places have McGregor in -500 or higher. The best payout for Diaz overseas is at 5Dimes, which has him +425.
The complete for’over/under’ wagers is 2.5 rounds (-200 to the’under,’ +165’over’). For those gamblers wanting to shave off some of those’chalk’ yet back McGregor, the brace for him to win inside the space doesn’t offer much help (-278 at 5Dimes).
If you would like to take McGregor’s information he’ll dust Diaz in the opening round, that brace provides a +170 return. If you believe the pride of Ireland will make quick work of Diaz, similar to his 13-second demolition of Aldo, there’s a brace at 5Dimes the fight won’t go 1:01 that supplies a lucrative +550 yield.
For McGregor to acquire by TKO/KO (in any round), the price is -275 (risk $275 to win $100). We should note that Diaz has never been completed at the first round in 28 professional spells.
In reality, Diaz (18-10 MMA, 13-8 UFC) has only been completed twice. He had been submitted by Hermes Franca in WEC 24 at the second round, and the 209 product suffered his only career TKO loss to Josh’The Punk’ Thomson at the next round of their April 2013 showdown. (Diaz’s corner threw in the towel)
Read more: tennis-2019.com