BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+ 12 DRAFKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This weekend, we’ve got an 11-fight card at Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some adequate contests for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. They also possess a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first location price and that $175k will be distributed between all 100 entries that qualify. I will attempt to receive my 3rd chair this week to max it if I could. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I’ll likely stick to the very best GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at that $30k decoration, and then I will probably take a few shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a fantastic quantity of play into money games.
With that said, let’s get into a couple plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me personally, this is a simple stack in money week. I think we readily have a floor of 100 with Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. It also assures us the winner. As I have mentioned many times in the past, we do not need 6 wins in money games, so play those type of games safer and all you’ve got to do is beat half the area. Usually 4 wins or 400+ points is good enough to money in most cash games. Even in case you’ve got a strong lean on this fight I still recommend stacking.
GPP play of this week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik gets the highest ITD lineup on the card in -140 and he can easily hit 100+ DK points from obtaining that in round 1. The worry here will be him on his back in round 1 and scoring zero points during that and then going out and getting a KO in round 2. Or no KO at all. Both of those would take him away the perfect lineup so we need this fight to stay standing and ideally an early KO. I believe that is extremely possible and he will be a heart GPP drama of mine . He is not the greatest cash game play though because he could be put on his back and be stuck there and perhaps even lose the fight that way. I am OK with him cash, but I will not be making that a priority like I’m being overweight in GPPs.
Drama of the week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This gambling line is about pickem’ with a small lean towards Dos Santos. However, Ewell is the favorite on DraftKings and is $400 more than ADS. Ewell is also the striker so that he to score tremendously he’s going to want a complete finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength however. Ewell has a hard time staying off his spine and when ADS can put him there he could possibly submit him. He could rack up numerous takedowns for a high decision rating. I enjoy the value we’re getting on him at $7.9k and I like he should be seeking to grapple in this particular fight. That is why I needed to pick him as my puppy of the week.
Fade of the week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There aren’t any real easy fades this week. I really do have a complete fade on Kondo though because she looks to be only a striker and I believe Ashely Yoder’s best path to victory is by way of grappling. If Kondo isn’t at a striking match for 15-minutes I don’t see how she scores highly unless she receives a finish. I don’t believe she’s KO power, therefore I think it’s purely the significant strikes and the win bonus which we would be relying on here. I would rather have a fighter with more of a opportunity to complete or who’s more inclined to grapple. That’s why Kondo is my fade of the week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle on the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link as well. I’m 81-51 for +251.89u (+$25,189) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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